Trading Snapshot · August 13, 2026
GPT 7.2Grok 7Fable 7.7XLE+1.44XLV+1.25XLU-0.96XLRE+0.17 SPY777.88 +0.7% VIX14.63 Open6

Trading Desk

Positions

6 open · sorted by Δ$ exposure
Gross Δ$ 0.4×Net Δ$ 39.9%Premium risk 6.1%Θ/day -0.01%Cash liquidity 70.5%gross held positions; pending orders not netted
Momentum · Δ$ 0.0% · capital 0.0% · premium 0.0%Thesis · Δ$ 39.9% · capital 29.6% · premium 6.0%
PositionLastDayThesisChartBetaSpread Z1Y · levelsNext catalystIn
$25.08+2.2%1.03-0.13
$40.2$28.4$16.7Aug 15 ’25Feb 13Aug 13 ’261Y start $36.08
-30.5% · trailing 1Y
Est. Q3 earningsOct 2876d
$6.60-13.2%1.77-1.26
$34.2$18.7$3.21Oct 1 ’25Mar 6Aug 13 ’261Y start $32.53
-79.7% · trailing 1Y
Est. Q3 earningsNov 1089d
$10.99+1.3%0.34-1.80
$43.0$24.7$6.40Aug 15 ’25Feb 13Aug 13 ’261Y start $38.36
-71.4% · trailing 1Y
Est. fiscal Q4 earningsNov 1998d
$24.32-0.2%0.12-0.94
$25.8$22.6$19.5Aug 15 ’25Feb 13Aug 13 ’261Y start $21.10
+15.3% · trailing 1Y
USDA WASDESep 1129d
$21.78-3.6%0.92-1.50
$35.2$27.7$20.3Aug 15 ’25Feb 13Aug 13 ’261Y start $31.37
-30.6% · trailing 1Y
Est. Q3 earningsNov 382d
$117-2.5%-0.20-1.25
$139$106$73.2Aug 15 ’25Feb 13Aug 13 ’261Y start $84.59
+38.4% · trailing 1Y
Confirmed Q3 earningsNov 483d

Tracked hypotheses

21 thesis-only names · sorted by catalyst
ThesisLastDayThesisChartBetaSpread Z1YNext catalystIn
$18.29+2.2%26.40-0.93
$64.1$37.4$10.7Aug 15 ’25Feb 13Aug 13 ’261Y start $57.79
-68.4% · trailing 1Y
Estimated weekly ETH holdings updateAug 174d
$472+7.9%1.87+0.99
$488$345$203Aug 15 ’25Feb 13Aug 13 ’261Y start $218
+116.4% · trailing 1Y
Q2 FY27 earnings (tentative)Aug 2512d
$201+4.2%1.14+0.11
$272$208$145Aug 15 ’25Feb 13Aug 13 ’261Y start $240
-16.2% · trailing 1Y
Q2 FY27 earningsAug 2613d
$11.18-1.3%1.03-1.33
$15.3$12.1$8.87Aug 15 ’25Feb 13Aug 13 ’261Y start $14.32
-21.9% · trailing 1Y
Est. August deliveriesSep 220d
$188+6.1%1.35+0.55
$344$225$105Aug 15 ’25Feb 13Aug 13 ’261Y start $275
-31.6% · trailing 1Y
Expected fiscal Q4 earningsSep 321d
$24.75+1.0%2.50-1.66
$53.8$28.8$3.85Aug 15 ’25Feb 13Aug 13 ’261Y start $6.78
+265.0% · trailing 1Y
Estimated Q2 FY27 earningsSep 826d
$270+4.5%0.91-0.11
$376$281$185Aug 15 ’25Feb 13Aug 13 ’261Y start $355
-23.8% · trailing 1Y
Expected Q3 FY26 earningsSep 1028d
$950+4.2%2.42-1.10
$1195$626$56.5Aug 15 ’25Feb 13Aug 13 ’261Y start $121
+687.1% · trailing 1Y
Estimated fiscal Q4 earningsSep 2341d
$596-1.2%0.70+0.03
$636$531$427Aug 15 ’25Feb 13Aug 13 ’261Y start $487
+22.3% · trailing 1Y
Q3 earningsOct 2169d
$120-1.3%0.87-0.76
$152$129$105Aug 15 ’25Feb 13Aug 13 ’261Y start $139
-13.4% · trailing 1Y
Estimated Q3 earningsOct 2775d
$331+6.2%1.42+0.39
$341$249$157Aug 15 ’25Feb 13Aug 13 ’261Y start $201
+64.7% · trailing 1Y
Est. Q3 earningsOct 2977d
$37.95+6.8%1.26-2.50
$141$85.4$29.6Aug 15 ’25Feb 13Aug 13 ’261Y start $117
-67.7% · trailing 1Y
Est. Q3 earningsOct 2977d
$158+3.0%2.27-2.09
$273$193$113Aug 15 ’25Feb 13Aug 13 ’261Y start $246
-35.9% · trailing 1Y
Est. Q3 earningsOct 2977d
$44.31+1.1%1.05-0.59
$45.5$34.5$23.6Aug 15 ’25Feb 13Aug 13 ’261Y start $28.38
+56.1% · trailing 1Y
Est. Q3 earningsNov 382d
$99.37+4.7%3.34-1.19
$154$107$61.1Aug 15 ’25Feb 13Aug 13 ’261Y start $114
-13.0% · trailing 1Y
Est. Q3 earningsNov 483d
$151-0.9%1.02+0.01
$155$128$100.0Aug 15 ’25Feb 13Aug 13 ’261Y start $103
+47.2% · trailing 1Y
Tentative fiscal Q4 earningsNov 483d
$279-0.0%1.43-0.65
$397$313$230Aug 15 ’25Feb 13Aug 13 ’261Y start $321
-13.1% · trailing 1Y
Est. Q3 earningsNov 685d
$28.77-4.0%2.62-1.58
$61.0$36.5$11.9Aug 15 ’25Feb 13Aug 13 ’261Y start $46.02
-37.5% · trailing 1Y
Est. Q3 earningsNov 988d
$106-1.3%1.63-0.42
$142$105$67.6Aug 15 ’25Feb 13Aug 13 ’261Y start $99.97
+6.3% · trailing 1Y
Est. Q3 earningsNov 1089d
$31.88+3.9%2.40-1.11
$76.8$49.4$22.0Sep 11 ’25Feb 27Aug 13 ’261Y start $31.11
+2.5% · trailing 1Y
Est. Q3 earningsNov 1291d
$164+0.8%1.20-0.35
$167$140$113Aug 15 ’25Feb 13Aug 13 ’261Y start $137
+19.9% · trailing 1Y
Q4 and fiscal 2026 resultsNov 1291d
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