TL;DR

I built three data feeds into my trading page — hedge fund 13F filings, congressional stock trades, and YouTube creator sentiment. This week I deleted all three tabs. They were interesting. They were also, structurally, news about the past.

  • The median congressional trade on my own dashboard was 122 days old. Legally disclosed, faithfully collected, four months stale.
  • Hedge funds report holdings 45 days after the quarter ends. The Q1 filings I was displaying described positions that could have been put on in January.
  • Alphabet was the top whale buy and the most-mentioned stock on YouTube. They bought near $287; the public found out at $397.
  • Copying the disclosed buys underperformed. Copying the disclosed sells beat them by ~7 points.
  • Deleted from the terminal. Not deleted from my brain — there's a real job this data does, just not the one a dashboard implies.

Live positions and the tabs that survived are on the trading page. NFA — not financial advice.

Two days ago I wrote about buying a stock into an FDA vote that the market had already spent three months pricing in. The lesson was about timing: information everyone can see, on a date everyone knows, is not an edge. This post is the same lesson pointed at my own tooling — because I had three dashboards guilty of exactly that, and I built every one of them myself.

What I built: 13F, Congress, and YouTube feeds

Over the past few weeks three feeds went onto my trading page, each one a genuinely fun engineering problem:

13F whale flows. Fourteen famous investment offices — Buffett, Ackman, Loeb, Coatue, Einhorn — parsed straight from SEC filings. Who bought what, who sold what, which names the most funds agreed on. Last quarter the tracked group sold a net $33.1 billion, with only 3 of 14 net buyers.

Congressional trades. Every stock transaction members of Congress are legally required to disclose: 3,798 trades from 149 members this year, scraped from House and Senate filing systems, priced at the midpoint of the disclosure ranges.

YouTube sentiment. The 25 biggest investing creators, their five most recent videos each, transcripts pulled and run through a finance sentiment model — 2,855 organic ticker mentions scored. The current read: “cautious, not euphoric.”

All three worked. All three were interesting to look at. And I never once opened them before placing a trade — which is the finding, not the confession.

The lag, measured: 122 days of staleness

Here is why. Every one of these feeds has a legally-mandated delay baked into it, and I finally measured mine instead of assuming.

JanFebMarAprMayJunJul13F whales134filed May 15Congress85disclosed ~25d lateryou read it todaywhat actually happenedblind window
The structural problem, drawn to scale. The dark bar is when the buying or selling actually happened. The pink bar is the legal reporting delay — the window where the position exists and you cannot see it. The dashed line is how long you sit reading stale news. Right now the median congressional trade on my dashboard is 122 days old, and Q1 whale positions were filed in mid-May.

Congress: the STOCK Act gives members up to 45 days to report. On my own dashboard the median gap between a trade happening and the filing appearing was 25 days — but that's only half the story, because filings then sit there and age. The median trade I was displaying had happened 122 days ago. One disclosure in my top 40 arrived 437 days after the trade.

13F funds: worse by design. A fund reports its holdings as of the last day of the quarter, and it has 45 days to do it. So a position established on January 2 shows up in a filing on May 15 — and it's a photograph of a moment already four and a half months gone. The fund may have sold the entire thing in April. Nothing requires them to tell you.

YouTube: no legal delay, but the subtler version of the same problem. Creators make videos about stocks that have already moved, because that's what gets views. Attention is downstream of price. A wall of Alphabet videos tells you Alphabet already did something interesting.

Alphabet: the same name at the top of every list

The three feeds converged on one stock, which turned the abstract argument into an arithmetic one.

Alphabet was the whales' single largest net purchase last quarter — $8.4 billion, held by 13 of the 14 offices I tracked, the most crowded position on the board. It was also the most-mentioned ticker on YouTube: 314 mentions across 21 of the 25 creators. If you wanted one stock that the smart money and the loud money both loved, this was it.

FebMarAprMayJunJul264316368421whales buying (Q1)you find out →$287$397320
Alphabet, 2026 — the single name at the top of every one of the three feeds. The whales accumulated it during Q1 (gray), when it traded near $287. By the time their filings became public on May 15 (purple line) it was $397 — you would have paid a 38% markup for the privilege of copying them. It is $320 now.

The whales bought it during Q1, when Alphabet traded around $287. Their filings became public on May 15, when it traded at $397. The information cost you a 38% markup before you could act on it. It now trades near $320 — meaning everyone who followed the smart money into the smart money's favorite stock is down about 19%, while the funds themselves are sitting on a gain.

They weren't wrong. You were just late, and being late is its own kind of wrong.

What if you’d just followed the 13F filings?

I ran the obvious test. Take the eight biggest disclosed buys and the seven biggest disclosed sells from the Q1 filings, buy the buys the day they went public, and see what happened.

Copying the 13F consensusMay 15 filing → Jul 24 · buys trailed sells by 6.8 points−2.8%Whale BUY basketwhat they bought−1.0%SPYthe market+4.0%Whale SELL basketwhat they dumped0%
Buying what the whales disclosed buying, and avoiding what they disclosed selling, on the day the filings went public. The stocks they were dumping beat the ones they were loading by nearly 7 points over the next ten weeks. Sample of 8 and 7 names over one window — an illustration, not a study.

The stocks these funds were selling outperformed the ones they were buying by almost seven percentage points in ten weeks. The buy basket lagged the S&P; the sell basket beat it handily. Visa, Mastercard, Chevron, Domino's — all disclosed sells, all up big. Alphabet, Broadcom, Uber — all disclosed buys, all down.

Congress told the same joke. Apple was their most-sold stock this year, across eight different sellers: it's up +11.7% since. Microsoft was their most-bought, across seven buyers: −6.6%.

The honest caveat, because it matters: this is fifteen stocks over one ten-week window, and one name (Alphabet, −19%) drags the buy basket down by itself. That is an anecdote, not evidence — if I published this as a finding I'd be doing the exact thing I criticize other people's dashboards for. The real argument here isn't the performance test. It's the calendar. The performance test just illustrates what the calendar predicts: by the time delayed information is public, the move that information describes has already happened.

What lagging market data is actually good for

Deleting the tabs isn't the same as saying the data is worthless. It's saying I had it in the wrong place, doing the wrong job. Lagging data is bad at “what should I buy today” and genuinely good at three other things:

Understanding what the market believes. Fourteen elite funds net-selling $33 billion is a real fact about positioning and risk appetite, even four months late. It's a weather report on consensus, not a forecast.

Research leads, not trades. If five different funds independently built a position in the same obscure name, that's a prompt to go read about the company — the start of work, not the end of it.

The contrarian read. The most useful signal in my whole 13F panel turned out to be crowding: Alphabet was the most agreed-upon position and the worst performer after disclosure. When everyone already owns it, the marginal buyer is you.

None of those are terminal features. They're a quarterly reading session. So that's where they're going.

What I deleted, what I kept

Three tabs are gone from the trading page, and it's now 24% lighter for it. What's left are the tabs that describe right now or next: live positions, the momentum scan, VWAP levels, crypto relative strength, the forward risk dashboard, and the horizon-scanning brief that looks for regulatory catalysts before they're priced.

The collection scripts still exist; the archives still exist. If I want to know what the whales did last quarter, I'll go read it — deliberately, once a quarter, like the research it is. It just no longer sits on the screen I look at to make decisions, wearing the visual costume of a live signal.

That costume is the real hazard. A dashboard implies currency. Charts imply actionability. Put four-month-old data behind a blinking interface and your brain will quietly file it under “things I know about the market today” — and that's how you end up buying Alphabet at $397 because somebody smart bought it at $287.

The data, preserved

Since the tabs are gone, here is the final snapshot of each feed, kept so this post stands on its own. The 13F numbers describe holdings as of March 31, 2026, filed in mid-May. The congressional figures are 2026 year-to-date through July 23. The YouTube pass ran July 24.

13F: fourteen offices, Q1 2026

Net flow is the change in disclosed U.S. equity holdings between filings, priced at quarter-end. Options and non-13F assets are excluded, so this is a partial view of any manager's book — Berkshire's insurance float and private holdings don't appear here.

OfficeManager13F AUMNet flow
Coatue ManagementPhilippe Laffont$29.1B−$10.1B
Berkshire HathawayWarren Buffett$263.1B−$6.1B
Third PointDan Loeb$2.1B−$5.1B
Bridgewater AssociatesRay Dalio$22.4B−$4.9B
Tiger GlobalChase Coleman$22.8B−$3.7B
Duquesne Family OfficeStanley Druckenmiller$2.9B−$1.2B
AppaloosaDavid Tepper$5.9B−$799.5M
Icahn EnterprisesCarl Icahn$8.6B−$667.7M
Pershing SquareBill Ackman$13.7B−$553.6M
Altimeter CapitalBrad Gerstner$5.7B−$353.3M
Baupost GroupSeth Klarman$5.1B−$28.4M
Scion Asset ManagementMichael Burry$68.1M$14.9M
Soros Fund ManagementGeorge Soros$5.5B$160.8M
Greenlight CapitalDavid Einhorn$3.2B$271.9M

Across the group: −$33.1B in net selling, with only 3 of 14 offices net buyers.

Most boughtNetMost soldNet
Alphabet Inc$8.4BChevron Corporation−$7.0B
Delta Air Lines Inc$2.6BVisa Inc−$2.7B
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufac$1.3BMastercard Incorporated−$2.5B
Equinix Inc$1.1BUnitedhealth Group Inc−$1.7B
New York Times Co Mtn Be$838.5MConstellation Brands Inc−$1.7B
Asml Hldg Nv$665.4MDominos Pizza Inc−$1.4B
Broadcom Inc$527.8MMicrosoft Corp−$1.3B
Uber Technologies Inc$366.3MIshares Tr−$1.1B

And the crowding measure — how many of the fourteen held the same name:

Most widely heldOffices holding
Alphabet Inc13
Amazon Com Inc10
Meta Platforms Inc8
Ishares Inc8
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufac7
Nvidia Corporation7
Microsoft Corp7
Broadcom Inc7
Ishares Tr7
Uber Technologies Inc6

Congress: 3,798 trades, 149 members

Every transaction disclosed under the STOCK Act this year: 2,501 House and 1,297 Senate trades across 770 tickers, with $74.5M bought against $63.2M sold. Amounts are midpoints of the disclosure brackets, because members report ranges, not exact figures.

Most boughtNetMost soldNet
AESI$5.0MAAPL−$9.7M
AB$1.0MRILA−$7.0M
INTC$976,000DIS−$3.0M
MSFT$767,003QCOM−$992,002
UBER$500,001NVDA−$744,005
CDRE$250,001SMA−$500,001
MDB$242,000TXN−$500,001
BRO$201,998PGR−$476,000

The largest individual disclosures, with the reporting delay on each — the column that made me delete the tab:

MemberTickerSideAmountTradedDisclosed after
Nancy PelosiAAPLSell$5,000,001Dec 2430d
Nancy PelosiAAPLSell$5,000,001Dec 3024d
Chip RoyAESIBuy$5,000,001Apr 309d
Jefferson ShreveRILASell$5,000,001Feb 933d
Jefferson ShreveRILASell$5,000,001Feb 933d
Nancy PelosiDISSell$1,000,001 - $5,000,000Dec 3024d
Nancy PelosiABBuy$1,000,001Jan 167d
Nancy PelosiGOOGLSell$1,000,001Dec 3024d
Nancy PelosiAMZNSell$1,000,001Dec 2430d
Nancy PelosiNVDASell$1,000,001Dec 2430d

YouTube: 25 creators, 2,855 mentions

The five most recent long-form uploads from each of 25 investing channels, transcripts scored by a finance sentiment model across 1,787 ticker mentions. “Cross-creator read” is the consensus across the creators who discussed each name.

TickerMentionsCreatorsCross-creator read
GOOGL31421mixed
GOLD23811bearish
TSLA23016mixed
SPX18723mixed
AMZN15019mixed
AAPL14014mixed
BTC-USD13511bearish
NVDA10917mixed
NFLX1069bearish
MSFT8515mixed
AMD565mixed
PYPL496mixed

Common questions

How late are 13F filings?

Up to four and a half months. A fund reports the positions it held on the final day of a quarter, and it has 45 days after that quarter ends to file. A position opened on January 2, 2026 appeared in a filing dated May 15, 2026 — and the fund may have sold it in between without telling anyone.

How long do members of Congress have to report stock trades?

The STOCK Act requires disclosure within 45 days. In the 40 largest trades on my dashboard the median actual gap was 25 days, but the range was wide: one disclosure arrived 437 days after the trade. Because filings then sit and age, the median trade I was displaying had happened 122 days earlier.

Does copying 13F filings work?

Not as a timing tool. In the ten weeks after the Q1 2026 filings went public, the eight largest disclosed buys averaged −2.8% while the seven largest disclosed sells averaged +4.0% — the funds' castoffs beat their purchases by nearly seven points. That is one small sample over one window, not proof. The structural reason is more reliable than the anecdote: the price move that made a position attractive typically happens before you can see the position.

Is congressional trading data useful at all?

As research and as a measure of sentiment, yes. As a same-day trade signal, no — by the time a filing is public, the median trade is months old and the disclosure only gives you a dollar range, not a price.

Disclosure (NFA)

Not financial advice. I hold positions in ABT, HIMS, and HOOD, and I may buy or sell any of them without updating this post. Performance figures are from Alpaca SIP data through July 24, 2026; 13F and congressional data from SEC and House/Senate disclosure systems. This is a personal research journal — me showing my work, not recommending it.